Departure Formula

Estimate Departure Time

Use a simple formula to estimate your leave-by time for flights and trains, then adjust with practical route and delay factors.

How to Estimate Departure Time Correctly

To estimate departure time, do not start with ideal map ETAs. Start with schedule and required arrival window, then work backward with transit and buffer values. This avoids underestimating queue time, terminal walking, and high-traffic risk.

Leave-By Formula

Leave-by time = scheduled departure - buffer - transit - risk margin

  • Buffer baseline: 90 min domestic, 180 min international, 45 min train
  • Transit: realistic route estimate for your departure window
  • Risk margin: 20-60 minutes for bad weather, events, or peak traffic

Common Estimation Mistakes

Using Best-Case Traffic

Map tools often show optimistic travel time. Use recent peak-hour averages for safer planning.

Ignoring Terminal Distance

Large airports add 10-20 minutes after security. Include walking or shuttle time in your buffer.

No Backup Route

If one route fails, your schedule collapses. Keep one backup transit option before leaving.